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    Archive for the ‘Investment returns’ Category

    Employers can do much to cut retirement fund risks

    September 10th, 2012 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    Employers offer retirement funds on a voluntary basis. Some do so out of a genuine concern for their employees’ welfare. Others just tick the box and give little thought to the outcome. Is such a fund ‘better than nothing’? Only to the extent that it forces employees to save; the tax advantages that underlie a formal retirement fund are quickly lost if the fund design does not also follow good practice. Employees carry the risk of an underfunded retirement; if employers step up to facilitate a retirement fund, they must assume a stewardship role, to lower this risk as much as possible. This means standing up against the retirement industry’s self-serving practices.

    Time to regulate disclosure requirements

    August 17th, 2012 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    National Treasury’s discussion paper “Strengthening retirement savings” proposed harmonised disclosure requirements across different products. But investors not only need consistent disclosure, they need much improved disclosure. One of the objectives of the FAIS Act is to ensure that investors make informed decisions. It also requires that financial intermediaries disclose all conflicts of interest. Yet the very existence and tolerance of commission-based advice creates a conflict of interest, as the two parties compete in a zero-sum game for the same investment return. The mere disclosure of fees – if it happens – does not resolve this conflict because commission-incentivised brokers will not voluntarily provide the context that would allow investors to really make informed decisions about costs and product choices. Only strict regulations will achieve that.

    Behind the hedge funds hype

    February 16th, 2012 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    10X has shied away from alternate asset classes, such as hedge and private equity funds. Among our key concerns: high fees, poor transparency, complexity and trading restrictions. Admittedly, some of these concerns had an anecdotal basis, but not anymore. Simon Lack’s exposé of the hedge fund industry (The Hedge Fund Mirage) supports our ‘prejudice’ with insider insight and hard numbers. His conclusion: yes, hedge funds have created a huge amount of wealth, but almost all of this has gone to managers rather than investors. Which raises the question whether upping the local prudential limit on hedge funds, as permitted by revised Regulation 28, is really all that prudent.

    The investing reality in South Africa

    January 31st, 2012 by 10X Investments2 Comments

    Is there a difference between a fair outcome and a fairness outcome in the pension fund industry? The question arises as the FSB’s “Treat Customers Fairly (TCF)” initiative, set for 2014, mandates fairness outcomes in the financial sector. But will those deliver the fair outcomes that investors anticipate? The investing reality in South Africa This […]

    Six myths of retirement investing

    January 13th, 2012 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    The bulk of retirement investors are disengaged from the savings process. Their apathy and ignorance is shamelessly exploited by the industry’s marketing and distribution machine, which creates illusions of future wealth and suggests the possible rather than the probable. To this end, the industry perpetuates six investment myths that serve the interests of the industry but not the investor. Most realise far too late they have been duped, with severe consequences to their pension. The sooner they become aware of these myths – and the positive alternatives available in the market – the better.

    Historical performance charts – typically showing dramatic outperformance over the benchmark – are often a source of envy and regret. The competitors’ envy is understandable, but the investors’ regret sometimes unnecessary, as they would have been just as well off investing in the benchmark. The reason is that relative performance charts are based on the time-weighted return, before the impact of fees. Investors however receive the money-weighted return, after fees. The money-weighted return is typically lower than the time-weighted return (as the fund grows over time, so opportunities and outperformance moderates), and more often than not, the bulk of the outperformance is pocketed by the fund manager in fees. The upshot: assuming active management risk and paying high fees pays off on rare occasions, but for the average investor it is a losing strategy.

    Expect lower investment returns – Part 2

    November 29th, 2011 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    This is the second part of our study exploring the return prospects of the key local asset classes – SA Equity, Bonds and Cash – both individually, and combined within a balanced portfolio. In 10X literature, we often refer to the 5% real return that our retirement investors should expect to earn from a balanced portfolio over the long term. Given the above average returns in recent years, and the market turmoil over the past three, is that still a reasonable expectation? Our study – considering mean reversion principles and the factors driving financial markets over the last decade – suggests that retirement investors should anticipate lower, possible even below-average returns ahead. In Part 2 we examine the outlook for SA Bonds and Cash, and the likely impact on balanced portfolio returns.

    Expect lower investment returns – Part 1

    November 23rd, 2011 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    In 10X literature, we often refer to the 5% real return that our retirement investors should expect to earn from a balanced portfolio over the long term. Yet investors have done much better in recent years. Given the above average returns in recent years, and the market turmoil over the past three, is that still a reasonable expectation? Our study – considering mean reversion principles and the factors driving financial markets over the last decade – suggests that retirement investors should anticipate lower, possible even below-average returns ahead. This will make it even more important to follow a consistent and adequate savings strategy, and to keep a watchful eye on fees, to prevent the retirement industry pocketing an even larger share of returns. In Part 1 of this two-part study we explore the outlook for SA Equity.

    Wall Street protesters do have a reason to shout

    November 16th, 2011 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    The Occupy Wall Street movement has been criticized for its lack of agenda and failure to articulate clear grievances. Simply protesting against inequality is not enough – that has been around since the Middle Ages. What is required is an understanding that investment banks are simply another player in a zero sum game, namely the global bun fight over finite investment returns. And that the rules are unfairly skewed in its favour, resulting in an inordinate transfer of wealth from the many to the few. That is what we should protest against, this grand scale pilfering of our retirement savings.

    International affirmation for 10X Umbrella Funds

    October 28th, 2011 by 10X InvestmentsNo Comments

    Around the world, regulators and commentators are grappling with the same issue: finding the most pragmatic and effective way to fund workers’ retirement. Their suggestions, for the most part are simple, obvious and just plain common-sense. So much so, in fact, that it begs the question why they have not already been implemented. The short answer is that it is not in the retirement industry’s interest to do so. Fortunately, South African retirement investors do have an alternative: the 10X Funds (Umbrella, Preservation and RA) already incorporate these suggestions.